| DR N RAVICHANDRAN
PRESIDENT (OPERATIONS) LUCAS-TVS LTD
GLOBAL SCENARIO
The world’s automotive industry made
over sixty million cars and commercial vehicles
last year. These vehicles are essential
to the working of the global economy and
to the well-being of the world’s citizens.
The world’s output of these vehicles
is equivalent to a global turnover of 1.6
trillion Euro and if vehicle manufacturing
were a ‘country’ it would be
the sixth largest economy in the world.
Building sixty million vehicle requires
the employment of nearly 8 million people
directly in making the vehicles and the
parts that go into them. This is over 5%
to 6% of world’s total manufacturing
employment. In addition to these, direct
employees, many times more are employed
indirectly in related manufacturing and
service provision. The automobile industry
is also a major destination for innovation
and investment over 66 billion euros in
research, development and production. The
auto industry plays a key role in the technology
level of other industries and of society.
It is also to be noted that the vehicle
manufacture and use are also major contributors
to Government revenues around the world.
The table-1 indicates the vehicle production
and the growth percentage.
Table- 1 Global vehicle production
(1997-2005)
Year |
World
Vehicle Production |
Percentage
increase/decrease (-) |
| |
(units
in million) |
|
1997 |
55.87 |
|
1998 |
53.20 |
(-)
4.77 |
1999 |
55.74 |
4.77 |
2000 |
58.33 |
4.64 |
2001 |
56.17 |
(-)
3.70 |
2002 |
58.45 |
4.05 |
2003 |
60.09 |
2.80 |
2004 |
64.16 |
6.77 |
2005 |
66.46 |
3.58 |
Source: OICA Statistics
Committee, world ranking 2005
We see that an addition of 11 million vehicle
production since 1997, a majority of this
growth is coming from the Asia-Pacific region
(excluding Japan). Whereas, in Europe, NAFTA
and Japan, there is more or less stagnation
in this period. Again a bulk of this increase
from China – where production has
trebled from 15.82 lakh units in 1997 to
46 lakh in 2005. The second country where
growth is significant is India, where the
production has doubled from 7.72 lakh units
in 1997 to 15.76 lakhs in 2005. The third
contributor to this growth is Thailand where
it has increased it production level from
3.60 lakh units in 1997 to 8 lakh units
in 2005.
Similarly, global motorcycle production
has increased from 30 million units in 2003
to 40 million units in 2005 and Asia is
the major producer of motorcycle in the
world with 90% share. Even here, China accounts
for 17 million units – India is at
second position with 7.7 million units a
year.
The industry being highly capital intensive,
many global players are realigning their
production bases coming closer to the consumption
points which is in Asia-Pacific region –
China, India and Thailand. There is also
enormous pressure on cost reduction forcing
many players in the field to outsource more
components from low cost countries which
gives excellent gateway for Indian Automotive
Industry, linkage with world players. India,
currently with our strength of growing domestic
market, increasing middle class population
associated with purchasing power, good corporate
governance and well established financial
market offers attractive base for the global
companies to invest in India.
INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
The Indian automotive industry is clearly
emerging as a technologically competent
sector, capable of forging long-term alliances
and partnerships with global OEMs and Tier-1
companies. We also see that Auto Industry
is now being encouraged by the Government
through various conducive policy framework.
This is the reason why we see many complex
and diverse forces coming together to work
in tandem and there is continuous creation
of opportunities for the Indian automotive
industry.
The domestic vehicle industry continued
its good run and achieved healthy growth
of 15%. For the third consecutive year,
exports of vehicles are growing year on
year - recording 28% growth. This also resulted
in significant growth of Auto component
industry, growing by 15% year on year, and
crossing US$ 10 billion mark in 2005-06.
Clearly we see after delicensing in 1991,
auto industry has spectacular growth, and
17% over the last three years and attained
a turnover of Rs.1,65,000 Crores. More than,
Rs.50,000 Crores have been invested in this
sector and another Rs.40,000 Crores are
in the pipeline.
In India, auto industry provides direct
and indirect employment to around 1.6 crores
of people and it contributes around 20%
in terms of indirect taxes – but,
with all these, our share in the global
market is only 2.37% against the world’s
production level of 67 million. Our Export
is 0.3%. We should capitalise on our capabilities
in really leaving our footprints around
the world. The major growth drivers are
as below.
The Indian auto industry is projected by
2016 around US$ 130 billion which may include
around U$ 35 billion for exports. This growth
rate promises significant employment opportunities
for the Engineers, Management specialists,
Workers (Skilled and Un-skilled). However,
to make this happen, we need to understand
our competitiveness and improve significantly.
The table indicates the key factors.
THE CHALLENGES AHEAD
The future challenge for Indian
automotive industry would be to develop
a supply base with emphasis on
|
Economies
of scale |
|
Lower costs |
|
Development of technical
& human capabilities |
|
Method to overcome
infrastructural bottlenecks |
|
Exploiting global
opportunities |
|
World Class Quality |
|
Innovative Products |
|
Flexibility |
Many companies in India have demonstrated
even with many constraints, It is possible
to be competitive and preferred source by
demonstrating excellence in the areas of
product innovation, process innovation,
just-in-time methodology, Quality levels
and flexibility.
Days are not far off for Indian Automotive
Industry will be making their presence around
the globe?
|