Few
things can be both exciting and weary at the same
time. The US Presidential election is one. Weary
because of the long and excruciating time that
the primaries were held giving rise to heated
and cliché debates; and exciting because
it was a wonderful display of the vibrancy and
maturity of American democracy.
Thanks to the media hype, that many a laymen
would have thought that the actual race for the
US presidential post was already on and that it
was between Obama and Clinton. Now that Obama
has emerged as the Democratic party’s presidential
nominee by beating Clinton in a historic electoral
campaign, the battle lines are clearly drawn for
the November 2008 presidential elections. Barack
Obama Vs John McCain – the next few months
will be very crucial in deciding who of the two,
will next occupy, what is arguably, the most powerful
seat in the world on 20th January 2009.
Soaring energy prices, a not-so-good- looking
economy, a tiring and endless war in Iraq, the
continuous reports that speak of the growing unpopularity
of the US in other parts of the world have all
made sure that the new US President will be facing
an uphill task.
While Obama promises a ‘Change’,
something that has been a captivating part of
his campaign, and McCain will be trying to consolidate
on the work done by Bush, what matters for India
is the stand that the two take on key bilateral
(Indo-US) issues.
The Democrats, who have been raising their concerns,
about the proposed Indo-US nuclear deal, have
been traditionally considered to be friendlier
to India (courtesy the Charisma of Bill Clinton
and his historic visit in 1995) and are expected
to be more liberal in education and visas. On
the other hand the Republicans have proved to
be capable of out-of the box thinking by proposing
and giving shape to the Indo-US Nuclear Deal and
in pushing the trade agenda to new levels.
One can safely say, that except for the Nuclear
deal, whoever comes to power, they will be pursuing
all elements in the Indo-US spectrum with the
same enthusiasm.
Let us look at some important and broad issues
between the two countries.
The Remarkable Shift
It does not require a keen observer of international
politics to say that the Indo-US relations has
been on a tremendous upswing in the last decade
or so. The nature and magnitude of the transformation
in the relationship between the two countries
has been so stupendous and all-pervasive that
rarely a day goes without that being discussed
by the various players – politicians, strategic
thinkers, academicians, business bodies, etc.
In fact, this transformation is well worth a deep
study not only for other nations in the international
sphere, but for the two nations concerned, as
well, to realise and reap the benefits completely
and to protect this transformation.
Two very significant events in 1991 proved to
be a catalyst in Indo-US relations. The fall of
Soviet Russia and the initiation of economic reforms
by India. That was the beginning of the transformation
of Indo-US relations. While the 1991 events marked
the beginning of the transformation, the Nuclear
tests conducted by India in May 1998 and the terrorist
attack on the US in September 2001 ( 9/11) put
the transformation on an intense and serious level.
Particularly, the 9/11 terrorists attack on the
US brought US closer to India in understanding
India’s security concerns. The two largest
democracies required decades of mutual mud-slinging
and such a spate of events to become engaging
partners from being estranged ones.
Indian Diaspora , Education
The words of the US President Bush reflect the
high level of engagement between India and the
US, now - “our people share a devotion to
family, a passion for learning, a love of the
arts, and much more. The United States is the
proud home of more than two million Americans
of Indian descent, a figure that has more than
tripled over the last 20 years. America is honored
to welcome 500,000 Indian tourists and businesspeople
to our country each year. And we benefit from
80,000 Indian students at our universities, more
than we have from any other nation. Many Americans
of Indian origin have made tremendous contributions
to my country in technology and medicine and business
and countless other fields”.
The Indians who have made US their home are among
the most affluent sections of the US and they
are increasingly playing a greater role in the
American polity, not just through fund-raising
but by more direct methods. Bobby Jindal, an Indian
American who is the Governor of the Louisiana
State, is tipped to contest for the Vice-President
post as the Republican candidate.
It may be very interesting to note that the 80,000
plus Indian students who go to the US for higher
studies, put into the US economy USD 20 bn . This
is huge money and this is the reason why many
US universities are marketing their courses with
such aggression in India. The message here for
India is, Indian Universities will have to be
smart and adaptable in marketing their courses
for the US students.
Trade, Visas & Outsourcing
From a bilateral trade of US $4 billion in 1991
it has grown to $37 billion in the last 16 years.
The growth of Indo-US Business is tremendous but
the potential is very huge and much more could
be done in that front. Particularly, forging relations
between the SMEs in both the countries will pave
way for greater trade and investment to happen.
One persisting issue that is causing lot of heart
burn among Indians is the uncertainty of getting
the US Visa even for genuine travelers as the
onus of proving “not-guilty of settling
down in the US” is on the visa applicant
. Also, Indians, known for their traditional “soft
approach”, towards matters, have not made
adequate noise on this and this has only intensified
the problem. We need to be loud and clear that
the US visa regime has to be more pragmatic and
friendlier. An enlightened self-interest and a
pragmatic approach are really the need of the
hour to take India’s interest forward.
Politics is the same everywhere, be it the US
or India. The protectionist cries on the Outsourcing
issue is expected to mellow down after the elections.
Not only the Indian business, but the US economy
has gained and will continue to gain because of
outsourcing.
The Greater Lesson
The contrast between Obama and McCain will be
not just in the colour of the skin, but in their
approach, age, freshness and energy. While Obama,
who currently has an edge over McCain, has to
safeguard his broad base, McCain has to work aggressively
to expand a narrow support base. Analysts say
that McCain is on a weak wicket on three major
issues – Economy, Healthcare and Iraq.
From globalisation and nuclear proliferation
to climate change and terrorism – Indo-US
interaction and cooperation are at a very high
level and today, India is more important to the
US than anytime before. We can wish good luck
for Obama and McCain and watch the interesting
battle in the weeks to come.
On a different note, in this high-energy, Obama-Clinton
political fight there is an important lesson for
the Indian Polity. After defeating Clinton in
the Democratic party nomination race, Obama said,
“Our party and our country are stronger
because of the work that Hillary Rodham Clinton
has done throughout her life, and I look forward
to working with her..”
Indian’s rise as a nation will be complete
and full only if we imbibe this spirit.
The views expressed are that of the author and
do not reflect FICCI’s viewpoint.
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