A
summary of the Inaugural Address delivered
by Mr R Seshasayee, Managing Director, Ashok
Leyland Ltd at MMA Annual Cnvention held
on 15 & 16 Feb 08 at Taj Coromandel
Hotel, Chennai.
I would like to read the beautiful musical
score that has been put together by the
Convention Committee in the context of this
topic of global challenges from India Inc
MNC. Please pardon me for being a little
musically inclined today after having heard
this beautiful invocation song. I think
the base note of this challenge called the
‘adharasruthi’ is the economic
landscape within which India Inc will have
to function. But I believe there are certain
strategic discontinuities in the future
global economic scenario, as the Convention
paper says. I must say that it sounds rather
awesome but it is an awesome change that
awaits us. There was a reference earlier
about the fact that India Inc has to now
get used to working with an appreciating
Rupee. The issue I am afraid is much more
than the appreciating Rupee. At the global
landscape level, the major techtonic shift
that could begin to have happened is the
one relating to the depreciation of the
dollar. Lest Athuro said that there are
likely to be some major techtonic shifts
in the global economic scenario and one
of the techtonic plates that he identified
was a potential loss of value in the USD
and therefore, a major change in the pattern
of reserved currencies in the world. This
he predicted about 8 to 10 years ago on
the basis of the fact that US was accumulating
trade deficits, was not being sufficiently
innovative, innovation has been the major
engine of growth in the US and the fact
that the Americans were beginning to be
more profligate.
For nearly twenty years after the ceasing
of the Cold War, we had a uni-polar world;
a world in which you had only one major
economic and political power. I believe
that we are perhaps beginning to see a cusp,
an influx point where the uni-polar world
might probably be undergoing a change towards
the multi-polar world. The US is probably
beginning to face an unholy triad, one in
terms of the depreciating value of its currency,
the slow down in its economic growth arising
as a result of its lack of sufficient bouts
of innovation and politically the reverses
that it has suffered, particularly in the
Iraqi war. Remember that every American
citizen today with a depreciating dollar
has to pay more for a military intervention
in the world. And that itself is a deterrent
for the US to be operating the role of a
single major power; a political economic
power. It is also equally true today, in
the last few years, that geo-economics is
now even overwhelmingly more important than
geo politics. The two are getting completely
intermingled. You can see the evidence of
that in the fact that the Indian High Commissions
today talk a lot more about trade and business
than they talked about politics. In that
context, you don’t have another alternate
power which can step into this and it is
not something which is going to happen in
a very abrupt manner. The world cannot afford
to see US go down and nobody can afford
to see the USD lose its value as a reserve
currency. It is often said that if you are
a very large borrower in a bank, you don’t
worry, it is the bank that has to worry.
And US continues to be one of the largest
borrowers in the world. And the fact that
sovereign assets are being held in dollar
denominated securities. It is therefore
not very likely that dollar will lose abruptly
its status as a reserve currency. But we
are perhaps beginning to see the start of
a process where the position held by one
single power is now going to get distributed
to different powers. We might be beginning
to move from a uni-polar world to a multi-polar
world. And that might accelerate as and
when China choses to be a market economy
and China choses to float its currency.
It might happen as and when Britain adopts
Euro as a currency. But it is quite clear
that in this emerging scenario where you
are going to have multi-polar distribution
of power, India has to assert itself to
take a position. It is rather like a business.
If you are not building the capacity, if
you are not getting the products in time,
somebody else is going to take that space
in the market place. India simply cannot
afford to do that. And if you really reflect
on this and ask who is going to be doing
this, it is going to be the private enterprise
which contributes over 60% of the GDP today,
which is going to drive this agenda for
India to take a position as an economic
power. It is the private enterprise which
is going to make the Rupee a strong currency,
a currency that is being respected by the
world as a trade intermediation and it is
that which is likely to give us a seat in
terms of an emerging Asia currency model
which probably could happen in the next
couple of decades. But it is clear that
India has a role, as an imperative to take
on this position. That to my mind is one
of the major strategic, techtonic plate
change which India Inc will have to recognize
and that to my mind becomes the ‘adharasruthi’
of this note.
As we start to think what it does to India
in terms of business, it is again something
which has been a rather unique situation
that has been developing. India’s
growth model is a unique growth model. It
is a maverick growth model. Unlike China
and the East Asian countries which predicated
their growth on the basis of manufacturing,
we went ahead and did it on the basis of
services. Unlike China and the other developing
countries which looked at exports, we developed
our growth on the basis of domestic. Unlike
countries which wrote their growth stories
on the basis of investment, we wrote our
growth story on the basis of consumption.
It is a completely different model of growth
that India has been scripting, not necessarily
by design, it may be quite by accident.
We often find that we are surprised by what
we are doing. So it is quite possible that
we have really moved into this position
rather unconsciously but it is nevertheless
a fact that we have had some discontinuance
again, in terms of the manner in which India
has moved into the center of the world.
It is even more surprising that India has
really shown some audacious entrepreneurship
in the manner in which the inorganic growth
stories of India Inc has been scripted.
The fact that a much smaller company can
take on a large company like Korus, the
fact that somebody could think of windmills
as a means of building global wealth, we
have been completely maverick in the manner
in which we have scripted this growth. Couple
of days ago, I read this fantastic news
about a boy called Chourasia, the son of
a caddy who shot into fame playing golf.
That completely disturbs all notions of
the type of social straga that you expect
to have golf players coming from. And that
is India’s story. The world did not
expect India to produce a master world champion
because India was an Underdog. Then suddenly
you see that India is laying claim for leadership.
That is the strategic landscape within which
India Inc has now to script its story.
When we look at what has been the driver
for this, the first wave that we had was
the IT wave, which took us to global stage
and the second was the BPO wave. Both have
been developed on the basis of human capital.
Human capital that we took for granted which
India was not even conscious about. That
is the same human capital which is also
driving acquisition. The audacious entrepreneurship
that I referred to earlier is also based
on human capital. Remember the fact that
the money for acquisition is not coming
from Indian capital. It is coming from Wall
Street, the western banks. The object of
acquisition is in the western developed
world; Money is coming from Wall Street;
and why does it then bank a leverage buy-out?
Because of the human capital and the entrepreneurship
that you have in Indian management.
The second note in this musical composition
is the issue relating to transformational
impact of human capital. That is session
two. It is that human capital which has
made these transformational changes in India
Inc. At the same time it is very curious
that is again where we have the biggest
challenge facing us. We are all today in
a spree on acquisition because it is something
very exciting. As I often say you cannot
meet your wife in the eye if you do not
acquire at least one company in three months.
But, if some investment banker thrusts a
proposal on Monday morning saying that you
have to put in your non-binding bid by Friday
evening, you succumb to that and start looking
at whatever comes your way for acquisition,
we are soon going to find that the human
capital which is the bedrock of this kind
of growth could itself be so stretched and
could itself lead to failure and we have
to face this challenge. Every organization
today is stretched very thin at the top.
We have a tremendous kind of starvation
for leadership. There are not enough business
leaders, chief executives who have run a
1000 crore company enough to feed the growth
appetite of the Indian Inc MNC. And you
have anecdotal evidence that 60% of the
acquisitions world over, have not achieved
the projected sceneries. You really have
to be looking at growth happening on the
basis of inorganic growth of acquisitions
and mergers, getting into the global challenges,
global world on the basis of MNA and we
really have to face the situation of the
thinning talent that we have at the very
top. I am not talking about skills at the
bottom. I am talking about the managerial
talent. They build a team to turn around
a large company in a totally different kind
of cultural setup.
Again, this is somewhat curious because
we have a large population of 1 billion
plus and we constantly keep talking about
this problem of human talent. And this is
again known to be the result of a situation
where we have neglected our education for
a long time. All of us are aware of the
stark reality that 90% plus drop out of
school, we are all aware that 150 million
children are still out of school. The solution
that is being pushed today, to increase
enrollment in school which by the way also
prescribes that you cannot fail a student
for the first 5 standards, is also producing
poor quality. The Sarva Shiksa Abhiyan is
certainly achieving its objective in terms
of pushing input quantity but is having
an adverse effect on the output quality.
I have taken presentations from NGOs, which
say in their survey that 5th standard students
cannot solve two digit additions. 35% of
them cannot solve two digit additions. Worst
still, 35% of 5th standard teachers cannot
solve the sums of the 5th standard. If that
is the quality of education, then we have
a lot to worry about. And we have a lot
to worry in terms of the lack of skills.
We still have no more than 90 skills which
we are imparting by way of training whereas
the world has categorized over 900 skills
and China is somewhere with 600 skills in
terms of formalized training processes.
So we have a huge issue in relation to human
capital and that is resulting in not having
enough army or supply of people with the
right kind of education. And that again
traces back to the situation that despite
the growth over the last 5 or 6 years, we
have not been able to distribute the benefits
of this in terms of improving the competitiveness
of the work force. Undoubtedly we have had
this tremendous growth in the last few years.
But it is equally a fact that this growth
has been accompanied by the increase in
inequality. This is exactly how it will
be. Freeing of the market, linkage with
the global market necessarily results in
higher growth but also necessarily results
in higher inequality. There is no other
historical evidence to show that when this
happens you have equality also coming along.
Does that mean that we go back to the past
where we talked about distributive justice
and therefore muffled growth? The answer
is no. We need growth. We invariably have
to increase the size of the cake but we
also need governmental intervention and
this is a curious kind of an argument that
we should be making. We said for several
decades, ‘Government, please get off
our backs’ and now we have to get
the government to intervene to ensure that
these benefits are ploughed back to make
sure that a larger number of participants
come into the marketplace, that the wealth
is distributed in an even fashion such that
there is going to be a larger supply of
skilled people coming into the market, and
that is what is going to expand the market,
that is what is going to be able to preserve
our human capital. If you merely take the
per capita figure and this figure of 1000
USD in India and if you take an average
per capita of 25,000 USD in the developed
western world, we must have a 1 to 25 advantage
in wage, but we don’t have that. We
have 1 to 4 and at the very top, we don’t
even have any advantage. At the very top
to the business leaders and managers, we
have paid the same as global salaries
.
With China, if you go by the per capita
in dollar terms, you must have 3 times the
advantage in wage. We do not have that.
We are just about the same or slightly higher
and that happens simply because our distribution
of this total is so skewed. That you have
got very high levels of wage and salaries
coming at the top with very poorly paid
workers at the bottom, the average is so
skewed, that our competitive advantage in
terms of having a large pool of capital
is not coming about and helping business
grow because of the problems of distribution
of wealth. That is precisely the note that
you will be discussing later in session
3.
Now talking about human capital in the labour
arbitrage, the cost advantage in labour
is often confused as the advantage in terms
of cost competitiveness. I am afraid they
are two different things altogether. A cost
advantage arising out of a factor advantage
in terms of lower labour cost is not a sustainable
advantage. It is not to be confused with
cost competitiveness. Cost competitiveness
comes as a result of eliminating waste,
of doing things in a lean fashion, of running
a shop floor on a lean production system,
of having a design which is lean. And there
is no end to the effort to eliminate waste,
to eliminate unproductive effort, to eliminate
what is non-value adding. Toyota which is
really one of the reference point for efficient
lean manufacturing systems still believes
that there is a tremendous amount of value
to be unearthed, cost to be controlled by
cutting down on waste. Vaten Abbay, the
Chief of Toyota, was addressing a press
conference recently and in an interview
he said, ‘No, we have not achieved
anything like an optimal level of cost control.
In this press conference itself, we have
two PR managers. Why do we need two? We
need only one’. The amazing amount
of fat that we gather over a period of time
does not make us lean and that takes away
the competitiveness. This is what India
inc has to fight for. I do believe in the
last few years, India Inc has been lost
in its own awe and we have been gathering
fat. I keep saying quite often within my
company that it is a good thing for us to
go through a bad patch. Only then you realize
that you have to cut fat. I’m very
happy that we have a slow down. Because
it enables to introspect and see where you
can cut out what is not necessary. Clayton
Christensen said that invariably, every
income bent manufacturer has a tendency
to add on cost without delivering value
to the customer over a period of time. And
then he said that then there comes one new
kid in the block who discovers precisely
what the value equation of the customer
is and puts out a prize performance point
which is so challenging that all income
bent manufacturers are completely driven
out of the market place. The nano is a classic
example of this.
I shall come to the fourth note and that
is going to be a very interesting story
for us. The story of the nano is a story
of a bunch of engineers who have looked
at a very lean value mapping, precisely
what delivers value to that customer and
what does not and stripping that. That is
what frugal engineering is all about. And
that is a state of mind and that is the
culture in an organization that I believe
India Inc will have to cultivate. And very
appropriately, this is the fourth note,
cost competitiveness. And in the manner
of speech, I have taken the metaphor of
music scale and this fourth note, ‘madhyamam’
really separates the entire periodic table
of raga into two notes. One is the ‘pradhimadhyamam’
and the other is the ‘suddhamadhyamam’
where one is cost competitive and the other
is not. It is as stark as that. And that
takes you to the next point. Can you work
only on the basis of human capital availability?
Can you oath to grow only on the basis of
cost competitiveness? Still the answer is
no. It is quite clear that there are many
companies which have focused very well on
lean management, on shop floor efficiencies,
cost cutting, in fact quite often we have
seen the senior management which has been
obsessed with driving cost down, getting
shop floor efficiencies but have missed
strategic directions. They have missed to
understand the need for innovation.
Internally, we have had many discussions
on this issue. We had at one point of time
discussed that we need to discover a prize
performance point on the engine which is
the heart of the vehicle through a route
which would give us the ability to compete
at a lower cost with higher performance
with a formidable competition. And I like
to think that focus on cost competitiveness
gave us a certain advantage over a certain
number of years. But it is very evident
that something which is replicable does
not give you durable advantage in terms
of competitiveness. The only durable advantage
that you get is through the process of innovation
where a new product innovation or new process
innovation builds an entry barrier for competition
for a certain period of time. Innovation
these days has been a major area of discussion
within corporates. I like to think that
innovation does not come about in an organization,
because organizations by definition are
conformist groupings. You have to have conformity.
If everybody is rebellious in an organization
then that organization ceases to exist.
Like an army you have to have conformity.
The challenge is when you have conformity
how do you stimulate innovation? How do
you get somebody to think in a tangent?
How do you provide an ecosystem where people
who have already burdened the experience
say ‘No, this cannot work’?
We had this huge challenge because we are
a 60 year old organization. We created a
forum called the YES Forum: The Young Executives
Forum. And actually it came about by my
having received a mail by mistake. And that
mail was from one of our young executives.
In his mail he says ‘I don’t
think this company is ever going to listen
to this bright idea that I have.’
Now that made me sit up and think that we
cannot have young executives having bright
ideas feeling that they cannot get the organization
to listen to them. I am sure that all of
you have had this experience. You come into
a meeting and you sit around and you see
these junior people sitting along the edge
of the wall and the senior manager says
something about a concept or a product.
The junior guy is sitting there and nodding
his head because he doesn’t believe
it is going to work but he is too afraid
to talk about it. How do you get them to
come out and say that is not going to work
but some bright new idea can work? We went
through this process and we are still learning
to get the organization to listen, nurture
and to promote and we in fact have institutionalized
this process. We have had nearly 160 odd
people who have gone through process of
innovation. We have created a platform called
‘The Mission Summit’ and this
is a platform where anyone who has innovative
ideas can come forward. We have revenue
targets for them, we have bottom line targets
for them, we have innovation, processes
prescribed and we believe that it is very
important to stroke this. I cannot claim
to have fully understood on how to do this
but what is clear to me is that we don’t
have this innovation. Some of you would
have read about this I-bus, which was exhibited
in the auto exhibition. That is entirely
conceived of, developed, executed and produced
by a bunch of young executives.
I like to share this experience. I-bus
has a lot of features, lot of gadgetries
which normally would have been rejected
as unnecessary or impossible to be done
in a bus. Yet these young executives went
ahead and developed this to prove to the
company that this is possible. It is not
so much that the I-bus itself is a major
breakthrough which will have crores of turn-over
coming in as a result of it. But what it
did prove to the organization was that it
is possible for people who are not burdened
with experience of failure to think of something
tangential and prove that it is possible
in doing so. I think this concept of innovation
is a key requirement in terms of accepting
the challenges of growth and leadership
in a global marketplace. And that takes
you logically to the next note, the sixth
note on leveraging on intellectual property.
If you look at the landscape in terms of
the IPR gene, over 90% of IPRs are held
by the developed countries. If you look
at what India has been doing in relation
to IPR, it is a pathetic story. We do not
have enough research and development, expenditure
being incurred as a nation. We do not have
enough resources being set apart as a country
for solving the problems of the future,
for taking critical positions in developing
technologies. As companies, our spend on
R&D is pathetic and as educational institutes,
we produce less than 1/10th , I don’t
recall the exact number, but significantly
lower number of PhDs and doctors as compared
to China. But it is also clear that if we
do not have innovation leading on to intellectual
property rights and I am glad that this
session has been called leveraging intellectual
property. It is not merely the number of
IPRs that you file, but the ability to leverage
these IPRs for the purpose of growing your
turnover and the bottom line. What the dotcom
boom did was to underscore the fact that
it is possible for you to have large returns
on intellectual capital. If you look at
the classic fact as a production and look
at the returns in relation to the classic
fact as a production, it is evident that
the new factor of production which is the
brainpower has a much higher return than
the return that other conventional factors
of production like land labour, etc have.
That is what the dotcom boom did. It proved
that if you had a bright idea, no matter
where you are, it is possible for you to
get capital to back that up and to get a
very high return for your idea. And the
return of the idea has to be protected through
a process of intellectual property rights.
We, as companies in India, are still not
quite literate on the IPR legislation. There
are many gray areas which still have not
been fulfilled by judicial pronouncements
within this country. And therefore it is
necessary for us to understand where the
opportunities lie and where we need to protect
as well. In fact I came across very recently,
an interesting group of people who said,
‘We will enable you to develop IPRs
very legally by looking at what is available
as filed IPRs and where the gaps are. You
can close these gaps. It is perfectly legal,
legitimate and you add value.’ There
is a group functioning in India which enables
you to file IPRs. It is the leveraging of
your ability to add value by way of brain
power that is going to be a sustainable
advantage in terms of competing and growing
in the market.
That is the sixth note which is leveraging
intellectual property. But being a steadfast
believer in classical music, I cannot stop
at the sixth note. I have to go on to the
seventh note. This note which completes
the series of musical notes, relates to
customers. In fact I am curious why when
such a beautiful program has been put together,
we haven’t heard much about the market
and the customer in this. And I will tell
you why it is very important. India Inc
is getting used to exports and I remember
many years ago when we had this colourful
secretary Mr Abid Hussain who was the commerce
secretary, and he once called a few of us
aside and at that point of time we had this
huge foreign exchange crisis. India was
pushing India Inc to export somehow by giving
incentives and all kind of freebies. He
said, ‘We must get exports to go up
otherwise we are going to be in trouble.
We need to incentivise, we must push Indian
industry to export. So what do we do? What
kind of slogan can we suggest?’ Because
those were the days of slogan. And people
in Delhi believed that if you had a slogan,
you achieve results. So, one meek joint
secretary said, ‘Sir, what about “Export
or Perish”? And then Mr Abid Hussain
said, ‘Don’t ever give this
choice to Indian industry because they will
perish’. This was not very long ago,
because we were at that point of time very
obsessed with the largeness that we had
in terms of the domestic market. Our own
lack of confidence in going and competing
in the global market and therefore there
was this hesitation to commit oneself. We
have recently been looking at every opportunity,
but it takes a different kind of a mindset
to be an international player, an MNC. An
exporter mindset used to say, ‘I manufacture
these products for my customers in India.
Where can I go and get markets for these
products?’ An MNC, an international
mindset says ‘For the customers in
the US, what products should I be delivering
for value?’ I am afraid that India
Inc has just moved from export mindset.
We have to develop an international mindset.
We have to understand the customer differentiation.
I am a great fan of ice creams and I can
tell you that the ice creams in Belgium
are much too creamy for 5234+.3+ the consumer
in Britain. The gelatino ice cream from
Italy is much too sweet for the French and
the French ice cream is much too flaky.
Every customer has his own wants when it
comes to taste. It is important for us to
understand and be sensitive to the needs
of every customer and every market. That
is when you begin to deliver and begin to
innovate. That is when you begin to get
cost competitive and that is when you start
looking at truly becoming an India Inc MNC.
|